Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 1.293251e-03 0.001444 0.001596 0.001760 0.001931 0.002105 0.002293
2025-03-16 1.074873e-03 0.001296 0.001525 0.001779 0.002052 0.002334 0.002646
2025-03-23 9.290680e-04 0.001205 0.001501 0.001837 0.002204 0.002590 0.003024
2025-03-30 7.889784e-04 0.001106 0.001456 0.001863 0.002316 0.002799 0.003349
2025-04-06 6.626162e-04 0.001009 0.001404 0.001874 0.002405 0.002980 0.003641
2025-04-13 5.539554e-04 0.000922 0.001355 0.001880 0.002485 0.003147 0.003915
2025-04-20 4.522229e-04 0.000832 0.001294 0.001868 0.002539 0.003281 0.004149
2025-04-27 3.656394e-04 0.000751 0.001238 0.001856 0.002588 0.003407 0.004371
2025-05-04 3.239775e-04 0.000726 0.001247 0.001918 0.002721 0.003625 0.004695
2025-05-11 2.848669e-04 0.000699 0.001251 0.001972 0.002843 0.003829 0.005003
2025-05-18 1.959082e-04 0.000586 0.001136 0.001875 0.002782 0.003821 0.005067
2025-05-25 1.429115e-04 0.000518 0.001076 0.001842 0.002795 0.003895 0.005222
2025-06-01 1.002667e-04 0.000462 0.001031 0.001831 0.002840 0.004013 0.005436
2025-06-08 7.061517e-05 0.000423 0.001006 0.001845 0.002913 0.004165 0.005691
2025-06-15 5.403037e-05 0.000405 0.001013 0.001899 0.003037 0.004376 0.006012
2025-06-22 3.532616e-05 0.000375 0.000998 0.001923 0.003122 0.004541 0.006282
2025-06-29 1.912949e-05 0.000340 0.000973 0.001932 0.003188 0.004682 0.006522
2025-07-06 7.691686e-06 0.000307 0.000947 0.001938 0.003248 0.004815 0.006753
2025-07-13 7.887697e-07 0.000269 0.000909 0.001925 0.003283 0.004918 0.006947
2025-07-20 NaN 0.000234 0.000873 0.001912 0.003316 0.005017 0.007136
2025-07-27 NaN 0.000230 0.000890 0.001974 0.003446 0.005233 0.007462
2025-08-03 NaN 0.000223 0.000902 0.002029 0.003566 0.005435 0.007772
2025-08-10 NaN 0.000165 0.000810 0.001930 0.003484 0.005392 0.007790